Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.880970e-03 0.002075 0.002270 0.002479 0.002697 0.002917 0.003156
2025-02-02 1.614097e-03 0.001898 0.002190 0.002513 0.002857 0.003212 0.003603
2025-02-09 1.475944e-03 0.001837 0.002218 0.002647 0.003113 0.003600 0.004145
2025-02-16 1.291919e-03 0.001708 0.002160 0.002679 0.003252 0.003860 0.004548
2025-02-23 1.071000e-03 0.001521 0.002023 0.002612 0.003275 0.003987 0.004803
2025-03-02 8.845598e-04 0.001356 0.001899 0.002550 0.003295 0.004105 0.005043
2025-03-09 7.293820e-04 0.001215 0.001791 0.002498 0.003318 0.004222 0.005277
2025-03-16 6.105442e-04 0.001107 0.001715 0.002475 0.003369 0.004365 0.005538
2025-03-23 5.569300e-04 0.001077 0.001729 0.002556 0.003539 0.004640 0.005944
2025-03-30 4.814118e-04 0.001011 0.001694 0.002574 0.003631 0.004825 0.006246
2025-04-06 4.303516e-04 0.000973 0.001690 0.002627 0.003763 0.005055 0.006598
2025-04-13 4.015074e-04 0.000964 0.001722 0.002723 0.003944 0.005339 0.007011
2025-04-20 3.184259e-04 0.000881 0.001673 0.002741 0.004063 0.005587 0.007426
2025-04-27 2.410213e-04 0.000795 0.001614 0.002748 0.004170 0.005824 0.007834
2025-05-04 2.057049e-04 0.000774 0.001644 0.002867 0.004416 0.006227 0.008438
2025-05-11 1.498260e-04 0.000703 0.001599 0.002887 0.004538 0.006486 0.008876
2025-05-18 8.530439e-05 0.000592 0.001484 0.002808 0.004536 0.006593 0.009137
2025-05-25 4.038567e-05 0.000495 0.001381 0.002738 0.004539 0.006705 0.009401
2025-06-01 1.315220e-05 0.000413 0.001290 0.002680 0.004553 0.006827 0.009675
2025-06-08 1.555535e-06 0.000352 0.001225 0.002653 0.004605 0.006993 0.009999
2025-06-15 1.262441e-09 0.000335 0.001238 0.002735 0.004797 0.007330 0.010525
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000298 0.001206 0.002752 0.004902 0.007559 0.010922
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000276 0.001202 0.002807 0.005056 0.007847 0.011389